A Synthetic Spring‐Neap Tidal Cycle for Long‐Term Morphodynamic Models

Morphodynamic models of communication

Morphodynamics means 'the dynamics of form', and the purpose of morphody-namic theories is to describe and explain the birth, evolution, and death of form. The term 'form' is used differently in different sciences, but the notions of discontinuity and organisation seems to recur in most uses. A central question is: how can continuous changes of an amorphous substance, such as increasing the vel...

a new approach to credibility premium for zero-inflated poisson models for panel data

هدف اصلی از این تحقیق به دست آوردن و مقایسه حق بیمه باورمندی در مدل های شمارشی گزارش نشده برای داده های طولی می باشد. در این تحقیق حق بیمه های پبش گویی بر اساس توابع ضرر مربع خطا و نمایی محاسبه شده و با هم مقایسه می شود. تمایل به گرفتن پاداش و جایزه یکی از دلایل مهم برای گزارش ندادن تصادفات می باشد و افراد برای استفاده از تخفیف اغلب از گزارش تصادفات با هزینه پائین خودداری می کنند، در این تحقیق ...

Displacement Based Error Metric for Morphodynamic Models

Sensitivity analysis of a morphodynamic modeling system applied to a Portuguese tidal inlet

Coastal area morphodynamic models are prone to severe errors arising from various sources, including: (1) the use of empirical sediment transport formulae (Pinto et al., 2006); (2) the reliability of the data used to feed the models; (3) the use of simplifying physical assumptions; (4) the error propagation between the various modules. Since these errors can be significant, the usefulness and c...

Scale-selective Validation of Morphodynamic Models

Although it is generally acknowledged that the practical predictability at smaller scales may be limited, output of high-resolution morphodynamic area models is mostly presented at the resolution of the computational grid. The sopresented fields typically are realistic looking, but not necessarily of similar quality at all spatial scales. Unfortunately, commonly used single-number validation me...